Time Series Analysis

15.

Practical Forecasting Considerations

15.1.

Forecast Horizon Selection

15.1.1.

Short-Term vs. Long-Term

15.1.2.

Forecast Accuracy Decay

15.1.3.

Business Requirements

15.2.

Data Frequency and Aggregation

15.2.1.

Temporal Aggregation Effects

15.2.2.

Mixed Frequency Models

15.2.3.

Bridge Equations

15.3.

Real-Time Forecasting

15.3.1.

15.3.2.

15.3.3.

15.4.

Forecast Communication

15.4.1.

Uncertainty Communication

15.4.2.

Scenario Analysis

15.4.3.

Risk Assessment

15.5.

Automated Forecasting

15.5.1.

Model Selection Algorithms

15.5.2.

Parameter Optimization

15.5.3.

Forecast Monitoring

15.6.

Special Situations

15.6.1.

Intermittent Demand

15.6.2.

15.6.3.

Hierarchical Forecasting

15.6.4.

Forecast Reconciliation

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14. Forecasting Evaluation and Model Selection

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16. Software and Implementation