Technology Foresight and Innovation

  1. Core Methodologies in Technology Foresight
    1. Methodology Classification
      1. Qualitative Methods
        1. Quantitative Methods
          1. Mixed Methods
            1. Participatory Methods
            2. Expert-Based Methods
              1. The Delphi Method
                1. Classical Delphi
                  1. Real-Time Delphi
                    1. Fuzzy Delphi
                      1. Process Design
                        1. Expert Selection
                          1. Questionnaire Development
                            1. Round Management
                              1. Consensus Measurement
                                1. Strengths and Limitations
                                2. Expert Panels
                                  1. Panel Composition
                                    1. Facilitation Techniques
                                      1. Consensus Building Methods
                                        1. Bias Mitigation
                                        2. Key Informant Interviews
                                          1. Interview Design
                                            1. Question Development
                                              1. Interview Conduct
                                                1. Data Analysis Techniques
                                                2. Genius Forecasting
                                                  1. Expert Selection Criteria
                                                    1. Individual vs. Group Approaches
                                                      1. Bias Recognition
                                                        1. Validation Methods
                                                        2. Nominal Group Technique
                                                          1. Process Steps
                                                            1. Idea Generation
                                                              1. Ranking and Prioritization
                                                            2. Data-Driven Methods
                                                              1. Trend Analysis
                                                                1. Time Series Analysis
                                                                  1. Regression Analysis
                                                                    1. Statistical Forecasting
                                                                      1. Trend Extrapolation
                                                                      2. Bibliometrics and Scientometrics
                                                                        1. Publication Analysis
                                                                          1. Citation Analysis
                                                                            1. Co-citation Mapping
                                                                              1. Research Front Identification
                                                                                1. Emerging Topic Detection
                                                                                2. Patent Analysis
                                                                                  1. Patent Landscaping
                                                                                    1. Patent Citation Analysis
                                                                                      1. Technology Life Cycle Analysis
                                                                                        1. White Space Identification
                                                                                          1. Competitive Intelligence
                                                                                          2. Technology Scouting
                                                                                            1. Automated Scanning Systems
                                                                                              1. AI and Machine Learning Applications
                                                                                                1. Natural Language Processing
                                                                                                  1. Pattern Recognition
                                                                                                    1. Data Mining Techniques
                                                                                                    2. Social Media Analytics
                                                                                                      1. Sentiment Analysis
                                                                                                        1. Trend Detection
                                                                                                          1. Influencer Identification
                                                                                                            1. Network Analysis
                                                                                                          2. Exploratory and Creative Methods
                                                                                                            1. Scenario Planning
                                                                                                              1. Scenario Development Process
                                                                                                                1. Driving Force Analysis
                                                                                                                  1. Scenario Matrix Construction
                                                                                                                    1. Scenario Writing
                                                                                                                      1. Scenario Testing
                                                                                                                      2. Backcasting
                                                                                                                        1. Vision Definition
                                                                                                                          1. Pathway Construction
                                                                                                                            1. Milestone Identification
                                                                                                                              1. Barrier Analysis
                                                                                                                                1. Action Planning
                                                                                                                                2. Future Workshops
                                                                                                                                  1. Workshop Design Principles
                                                                                                                                    1. Critique Phase
                                                                                                                                      1. Fantasy Phase
                                                                                                                                        1. Implementation Phase
                                                                                                                                          1. Facilitation Techniques
                                                                                                                                          2. Science Fiction Prototyping
                                                                                                                                            1. Storytelling for Innovation
                                                                                                                                              1. Technology Visualization
                                                                                                                                                1. Future Use Case Development
                                                                                                                                                  1. Creative Writing Techniques
                                                                                                                                                  2. Morphological Analysis
                                                                                                                                                    1. Parameter Identification
                                                                                                                                                      1. Configuration Space Mapping
                                                                                                                                                        1. Cross-Consistency Assessment
                                                                                                                                                          1. Solution Space Exploration
                                                                                                                                                          2. Cross-Impact Analysis
                                                                                                                                                            1. Impact Matrix Development
                                                                                                                                                              1. Probability Estimation
                                                                                                                                                                1. Scenario Generation
                                                                                                                                                                  1. Sensitivity Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                  2. Wild Card Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                    1. Wild Card Identification
                                                                                                                                                                      1. Impact Assessment
                                                                                                                                                                        1. Preparedness Planning
                                                                                                                                                                          1. Contingency Development
                                                                                                                                                                        2. Participatory Methods
                                                                                                                                                                          1. Citizen Panels
                                                                                                                                                                            1. Panel Recruitment
                                                                                                                                                                              1. Deliberation Processes
                                                                                                                                                                                1. Consensus Building
                                                                                                                                                                                2. Stakeholder Workshops
                                                                                                                                                                                  1. Multi-Stakeholder Engagement
                                                                                                                                                                                    1. Collaborative Visioning
                                                                                                                                                                                      1. Conflict Resolution
                                                                                                                                                                                      2. Online Participation Platforms
                                                                                                                                                                                        1. Crowdsourcing Techniques
                                                                                                                                                                                          1. Digital Collaboration Tools
                                                                                                                                                                                            1. Virtual Workshops
                                                                                                                                                                                          2. Integrated Approaches
                                                                                                                                                                                            1. Mixed Methods Design
                                                                                                                                                                                              1. Sequential Approaches
                                                                                                                                                                                                1. Concurrent Approaches
                                                                                                                                                                                                  1. Transformative Frameworks
                                                                                                                                                                                                  2. Triangulation Strategies
                                                                                                                                                                                                    1. Data Triangulation
                                                                                                                                                                                                      1. Method Triangulation
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1. Investigator Triangulation
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2. The Foresight Diamond Model
                                                                                                                                                                                                          1. Intelligence Gathering
                                                                                                                                                                                                            1. Imagination and Creativity
                                                                                                                                                                                                              1. Integration and Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                1. Interpretation and Vision
                                                                                                                                                                                                                2. Method Selection Framework
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1. Purpose Alignment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1. Resource Considerations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1. Time Constraints
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1. Stakeholder Requirements
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1. Quality Criteria

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2. The Technology Foresight Process

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4. Linking Foresight to Innovation Strategy